Madagascar
Madagascar Update, 8 February 2010
Dear Friends,
We are doing fine, though Madagascar is slipping, slipping.
On Saturday 6 February the 15-day window expired for the 4 mouvances (those led by Rajoelina, Ratsiraka, Zafy, and Ravalomanana) to respond to the proposals of the International Contact Group for Madagascar (ICG). The ICG is led by the African Union (AU) and includes the United States, France, European Union, SADC, UN, and others. The deal from the ICG is simple: agree to the Maputo Accords and Addis Ababa Additional Agreement or face sanctions. The Maputo Accords and Addis Ababa Additional Agreement provide for a consensual transitional government to hold the reigns of power while legislative and presidential elections are held. It appears that Andry Rajoelina continues to reject important provisions of the Maputo Accords (even though he signed them) so Madagascar awaits sanctions. Will sanctions really happen? If so, what, and when? The European Union is holding a meeting on 10 February in which it may decide on sanctions. The African Union and United States could decide on sanctions any day now.



